A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
Jarred awake from its 30-year slumber by events in Ukraine, Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced in a special session of the Bundestag on February 27 that a massive shift in …
Confronting Reality, Germany Pledges a Stronger Military Read More
Invasion of Ukraine Forces Reckoning over Europe’s Deep Energy Links to Russia by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent, Forecast International. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has forced a reckoning in Europe …
Europe and Natural Gas: Time to Eliminate Dependency on Energy Imports from Russia Read More
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has given rise to uncertainty about the broader security situation in Europe, and raises questions about U.S. defense investment as Washington weighs its response options. With …
Will Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Change the U.S. Defense Budget Calculus? Read More
“I believe that the European Union more accurately reflects what the world will look like at the end of history than the contemporary United States. The EU’s attempt to transcend …
The End of the End of History: War Comes to Europe Read More
With his aggressive speech on Monday, February 21, effectively nullifying the increasingly defunct Minsk accords and laying the groundwork for absorbing a large swathe of eastern Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir …
Russia Recognizes Ukrainian Separatists, Western Allies Respond Read More
As the adage goes, sooner or later everything old becomes new again. This certainly applies to the situation in Ukraine, where European countries bordering Russia are watching a military buildup …
Ukraine Tensions and the Idea of European Strategic Autonomy Read More
With the security environment along Europe’s eastern borders with Russia worsening, the Estonian government is planning to invest more in the country’s defense capability by adding an additional EUR380 million …
As Tensions over Ukraine Rise, Estonian Government Pledges More Money for Defense Read More
by Nicholas Dawson, Forecast International. The Yemen civil war has expanded south to the coastal province of Shabwa. The Houthi rebels have been engaged against the pro-Yemen government in Marib for …
The Yemen Civil War Moves to the Southern Provinces Read More
U.S. coalition forces saw an uptick in attacks against their facilities this week, likely due to the January 3 anniversary of a U.S. airstrike that killed Iranian Gen. Qassim Soleimani …
Explosive Drones and Rockets Target U.S. Coalition Forces in Iraq and Syria Read More
by Nicholas Dawson, Forecast International. Historically, multiple regions, including Alsace-Lorraine between Germany and France and Kashmir Province between India and Pakistan, have been contested by regional powers. And a regional …
The Conflicts of Nagorno-Karabakh: Armenia and Azerbaijan Read More