A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
On Oct. 13, 2022, Germany and 14 NATO allies signed a non-binding letter of intent to pursue the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI), an integrated air-defense and anti-missile system. The …
Germany Forges Path To Leadership Through The European Sky Shield Initiative Read More
The Belarusian government has drafted a new military doctrine that, for the first time, accounts for the usage of nuclear weapons. The new doctrine will reflect the rapid change in …
Belarusian Military Doctrine Updated for Nuclear Weapons Read More
As long as there are people there will be corruption. A lot of things people do are awful low (name that movie quote). War provides corrupt individuals with irresistible opportunities …
Corruption, Not the U.S., is the Peoples’ Liberation Army’s Greatest Challenge Read More
On November 19, the Bahamas-flagged commercial vessel Galaxy Leader was boarded via helicopter and hijacked before being taken to the Yemeni port of Hodeidah. The Iranian-backed Yemeni militant group Ansar …
Operation Prosperity Guardian Faces Early Hurdles Read More
In the complex landscape of Taiwanese defense politics, a stark divide has emerged between the Kuomintang (KMT) and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) of the Tsai administration, particularly concerning the …
Internal Politics Cause Chasm in Taiwan’s Defense Posture Read More
“War has returned to Europe. Germany and its allies once again confront a military threat. The international order is being attacked in Europe and around the world. We are experiencing …
Germany Faces Tall Task in Reversing Bundeswehr’s Decline Read More
Particularly after its most recent war with Azerbaijan, Armenia has found itself isolated, lacking support from treaty ally Russia but without great options to replace Moscow as security guarantor. France, …
By Way of Poti Read More
On October 24th, a People’s Republic of China (PRC) J-11 fighter came within 10 feet of a U.S. B-52 bomber during an intercept in international airspace near the South China …
China’s Aircraft Intercepts Brazenly Risk Disaster Read More
Azerbaijan announced an “anti-terrorist operation” in Nagorno-Karabakh on September 19, reigniting warfare with rival Armenia over the breakaway republic’s political future. The announcement coincided with shelling along the contact line, …
Azerbaijan Resumes Nagorno-Karabakh Military Operations Read More
Last week, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un traveled northwards to Russia for a nearly week-long visit, meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin and other top officials, as well as touring …
Russia’s DPRK Outreach Read More