A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
Amidst a national atmosphere of pervasive public disillusionment and rising political atomization, peasant son and former labor activist Pedro Castillo arose from near anonymity in 2021 to surprise domestic and …
Gridlock to Golpe: Can Peru Break the Cycle? Read More
The Brazilian Army has selected the Centauro II produced by a Leonardo and Iveco consortium to fulfill its requirement for armored vehicles. The contract is reportedly worth up to EUR2 …
Brazil Selects Italy’s Centauro as New 8×8 Armored Vehicle Read More
The White House has asked Congress to approve an additional $37.7 billion in aid for Ukraine. The package includes $21.7 billion in security assistance that would flow through the Pentagon, …
White House Seeks Additional $38 Billion for Ukraine Read More
The U.S. on Thursday announced a $675 million security assistance package for Ukraine, marking the 20th time the Biden administration has utilized drawdown authority to transfer existing U.S. equipment into …
U.S. Aid Continues to Flow into Ukraine Read More
Alarmed by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, normally EU-skeptic Denmark has voted to scrap the country’s opt-out on the bloc’s common defense policy. The referendum, conducted on June 1, resulted in …
A Little Less Euro-Skepticism, a Little More Unity: Denmark Votes to Overturn EU Defense Opt-Out Read More
The dramatic deterioration of Haiti’s internal security environment over the past two years is of particularly acute concern for the current Dominican government. With the Haitian government having been cast …
Border Tensions and Surging Growth Drive Dominican Defense Expenditures Read More
Finland’s five-party government has announced an agreement to supplement its defense budgetary outlays with an additional EUR2 billion ($2.19 billion) allocation. The agreement comes amidst a backdrop of Russia’s invasion …
Alarmed by Events in Ukraine, Finland Agrees to Defense Spending Top-Up Read More
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has given rise to uncertainty about the broader security situation in Europe, and raises questions about U.S. defense investment as Washington weighs its response options. With …
Will Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Change the U.S. Defense Budget Calculus? Read More
With his aggressive speech on Monday, February 21, effectively nullifying the increasingly defunct Minsk accords and laying the groundwork for absorbing a large swathe of eastern Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir …
Russia Recognizes Ukrainian Separatists, Western Allies Respond Read More
As the adage goes, sooner or later everything old becomes new again. This certainly applies to the situation in Ukraine, where European countries bordering Russia are watching a military buildup …
Ukraine Tensions and the Idea of European Strategic Autonomy Read More