A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
When European leaders meet next month to debate further assistance to Ukraine, they will be confronted with a looming €70 billion hole in Kyiv’s finances and few good options to …
European Union Debates Funding Gap for Ukraine Read More
The Trump administration is racing to contain a spike in energy prices brought about by Iranian attacks on shipping in the Gulf, examining a range of options including escort missions in the Strait of Hormuz and even easing sanctions on Russian oil to ease price pressure.
Oil Price Spike Tests Trump Administration’s Iran Strategy Read More
Following the “12-Day War” with Israel in June 2025, the Iranian government accelerated negotiations with Russia and China to procure advanced missile systems. According to recent reports from the Financial Times and Reuters, these talks persisted even after the international arms embargo was reinstated in September.
Iran Turned to Russia, China for Missiles After 12-Day War Read More
After over a decade of rule characterized by pervasive economic and political tumult that generated an exodus of millions of citizens and the country’s deepening diplomatic isolation, on January 3rd …
Venezuela: The Day After Read More
After months of tense wrangling, the U.S. and Ukraine formally signed a natural resource development agreement on April 30, establishing plans for a future partnership that will help Ukraine with …
Minerals and the War Read More
As the Trump administration intensifies its efforts to reshape the global economic landscape through tariffs and the creation of alternative supply chains, a critical vulnerability within the U.S. defense industry …
Tariffs and Retaliation: Exposing the U.S. Defense Industry’s Rare Earth Weakness Read More
Europe has been dealing with a case of whiplash since the start of the second Trump administration, as President Donald Trump aims to rewrite the nature of U.S.-Europe relations. Since …
Tariff Tussle Adds Headache to European Defense Spending Plans Read More
“Now is the time to speak honestly so that every European understands what is at stake. A new international order will be formed in the second half of this decade …
Beyond Headlines: Europe’s Defense Dream vs. Reality Read More
The U.S. has halted military aid to Ukraine, the White House announced on Monday evening, following Friday’s fiery Oval Office meeting between President Donald Trump and his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr …
U.S. Halts Military Aid to Ukraine After Oval Office Spat Read More
U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer made a surprise announcement to the House of Commons on February 25, outlining plans to increase the British defense budget to 2.5 percent per year …
Keir Starmer’s U.K. Defense Spending Pledge Comes with Asterisks Read More