A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
As European capitals grapple with Washington’s changing foreign policy priorities under the Trump administration, the continent is increasingly coming to terms with the state of its military readiness, especially in …
ReArm Europe: A Look at the European Commission White Paper Read More
“Now is the time to speak honestly so that every European understands what is at stake. A new international order will be formed in the second half of this decade …
Beyond Headlines: Europe’s Defense Dream vs. Reality Read More
The likely next chancellor of Germany, Friedrich Merz, announced on Friday, March 14, that he had secured enough votes to enable a massive new expenditure plan aimed at infrastructure and …
Germany’s Landmark Spending Deal Gets Approved – Now Comes the Lift Read More
As 2022 draws to a close, the European defense environment has shifted as dramatically as at any time since the end of the Cold War. Beginning with the launch of …
The European Defense Environment Year in Review, and a Peek Ahead Read More
Consider a country on Europe’s easternmost fringes that once shared a larger border with the former Soviet Union. This country emerged from the dissolution of the USSR an independent state, …
A Tale of Two Former Soviet Republics (Or: How Much is Ukraine Getting in Trans-Atlantic Military Aid?) Read More
“I believe that the European Union more accurately reflects what the world will look like at the end of history than the contemporary United States. The EU’s attempt to transcend …
The End of the End of History: War Comes to Europe Read More
At the first NATO Defense Ministers meeting of 2020, Britain’s defense secretary, Ben Wallace, used the occasion to reassure NATO’s European members that the United Kingdom remains a key element …
U.K. Commits Joint Expeditionary Force to NATO Readiness Initiative Read More
On November 12, against the backdrop of French President Emmanuel Macron’s declaration in a recent The Economist interview that the NATO Alliance is currently experiencing “brain death,” the European Union …
PESCO and the Long Road to European Strategic Autonomy Read More
Following two years under the Trump administration, it’s safe to say that relations between Washington and Europe are as raw and tense as at any time since the end of …
Transatlantic Drift Read More The decision by U.S. President Donald Trump to pull out of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), aka the Iran nuclear deal, has quite obviously evoked sharp reaction in …
A United European Front Against Trump – for Now Read More