A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
On October 24th, a People’s Republic of China (PRC) J-11 fighter came within 10 feet of a U.S. B-52 bomber during an intercept in international airspace near the South China …
China’s Aircraft Intercepts Brazenly Risk Disaster Read More
Imagery of Near-Complete Chinese Military Naval Station in Cambodia. Image – Black Sky On July 24, BlackSky Technology, Herndon, Virginia, published a series of satellite images showing the rapid development …
China Extends Its Grasp Read More
Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare has requested a review of a 2017 defense treaty with Australia, months after finalizing a security pact with China that permits Chinese troops to deploy to …
Tug Of War In The Pacific Read More
Weapons sales have long been a part of security partnerships around the world. The closer the relationship, the more advanced and complex the equipment that can be shared. Sellers may …
China, U.S. Seek to Strengthen Influence through Sub Deals Read More
By Dan Darling, Derek Bisaccio and Aja Melville The war between Russia and Ukraine, initiated by Russia’s invasion of Crimea in 2014 and subsequent invasion in February 2022, has had …
China Seizes Arms Exporting Opportunity in the Middle East Read More
After decades of what can only be classified as basic neglect following the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union, U.S. naval warfare has been …
Reality Check on U.S. Navy Modernization Plan Read More
The nuclear submarine program of China’s People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) is fraught with contradictory information, speculation, and propaganda. The lack of valid and verified information is a vivid reminder …
China’s Nuclear Submarine Program: Fact vs. Fiction Read More
China appears to be sleepwalking toward a conflict over Taiwan. In response, East Asia has begun to prepare for a war that could start as early as 2026. While some …
East Asian Rearmament – The Red Line Podcast Read More
By C. Zachary Hofer and Carter Palmer From the end of January and into February, an uncommon object captured the attention of observers around the globe, but probably none more …
Balloon vs. Satellite; China and Its Wayward Balloon Read More
India’s efforts to bring the Vikrant on line were given added urgency with the Chinese commissioning of the aircraft carrier Shandong in December 2019. In January 2020, the Indian Ministry …
India’s Aircraft Carrier Program Can’t Keep Up with China’s Read More