A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
The Context On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a joint military operation against Iran. The conflict that followed has caused a tremendous strain on the global …
Strait of Hormuz Under Threat of Mines: Are Littoral Combat Ships the Solution? Read More
Sweden’s Saab unveiled the first Gripen E fighter produced in Brazil during a ceremony held March 25 at Embraer’s industrial complex in Gavião Peixoto. The rollout marks a significant achievement, …
Saab and Embraer Unveil First Locally Manufactured Gripen E in Brazil Read More
AI as Organizational Technology In his 2025 book, AI, Automation, and War, Anthony King implores the reader to understand artificial intelligence (AI) as a phenomenon most closely related to organizational …
AI in Iran: It’s Not (Just) About Capabilities Read More
Over the coming weeks, the big story for counter-unmanned aerial systems (C-UAS) procurement and operations will likely remain the U.S./Israeli joint attack on Iran and how military forces and neighboring …
With War in the Middle East, Counter-Drone Responds Read More
A U.S. Army AH-64 Apache launches an Anduril Altius 700 Medium-Range Launched Effect (MR-LE) at Yuma Proving Ground during a recent concept exercise. Image–Courtesy Photo via DVIDS. The big three …
Rotorcraft Resilience: Strong Deliveries and Next-Gen Tech Drive U.S. Market Read More
With U.S. and Israeli operations expanding in scale, the war in Iran is testing the limits of tactical military success. The ongoing campaign has severely degraded Iranian capabilities, but it …
Tactical Success and Strategic Ambiguity in the Iran War Read More
Leonardo has completed its acquisition of Iveco Group’s defence division for approximately EUR1.6 billion ($1.84 billion), finalizing a deal that gives the Italian aerospace and defence conglomerate full ownership of …
Italy Consolidates Defense Industry as Leonardo Absorbs Iveco’s Military Vehicle Business Read More
Rheinmetall AG recorded consolidated sales of €9.9 billion for the 2025 fiscal year, representing a 29% increase over the €7.7 billion reported in the previous year. Operating profit for the …
European Rearmament Push Drives Rheinmetall Sales and Record Defense Backlog in 2025 Read More
The Trump administration is racing to contain a spike in energy prices brought about by Iranian attacks on shipping in the Gulf, examining a range of options including escort missions in the Strait of Hormuz and even easing sanctions on Russian oil to ease price pressure.
Oil Price Spike Tests Trump Administration’s Iran Strategy Read More
Embraer Defense & Security and Valkyrie Aero are expanding the mission capabilities of the A-29 Super Tucano by integrating artificial intelligence to counter unmanned aerial systems. The partnership incorporates Valkyrie’s …
Embraer Adds AI to A-29 Super Tucano to Target Shahed-Class Drone Threats Read More