A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
American defense contractor Palantir is at the center of U.S. and international initiatives and controversies. Major Palantir-related Developments (1) Palantir is the prime contractor for the U.S. Maven Smart System …
After the U.S. Midterms: Uncertainties for Palantir? Read More
AI for Cyber Mania If you follow the news – any of it will do – you likely have heard that artificial intelligence (AI) and cyber have joined in a …
Cybersecurity Is a Dance, Not a Fortress: AI for Cyber in U.S. National Security Read More
Introduction The North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) – the U.S. and Canada’s joint defense partnership for missile defense and aerospace control – is currently winding its way along two …
NORAD’s Two Paths Amid Modernization Read More
In some ways, the early days of Lockheed Martin’s SPY-7 radar – derived from the same architecture as the Long Range Discrimination Radar (LRDR) funded and tested by the U.S. …
The SPY-7 Redemption Arc Read More
In October 2022, the U.S. Biden administration, through the Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), released a slate of export controls to prevent Chinese firms from accessing …
Echoes of Export Control Past: Assessing the Anthropic “Fable” Suspension Read More
The SPY-6 Air and Missile Defense Radar (AMDR) made its debut in the wake of the SPY-3/SPY-4 Dual Band Radar’s failure to replace the AEGIS Weapon System at cost, having …
The SPY-6 Program Comes Into Its Own Read More
The TArgeting Long-Range Identification Optronic System, or TALIOS, is an electro-optical, dual-use laser designation pod for targeting and reconnaissance. It is produced by French defense firm Thales as the successor …
The TALIOS Targeting Pod: Features and Prospects Read More
Mythos Preview Makes Its Debut On April 7th, American artificial intelligence (AI) firm Anthropic shared news that it had developed a new model, “Mythos Preview.” It claims that Mythos supersedes …
Anthropic’s “Mythos” Strikes Fear in the Hearts of Cyber Defenders Read More
AI as Organizational Technology In his 2025 book, AI, Automation, and War, Anthony King implores the reader to understand artificial intelligence (AI) as a phenomenon most closely related to organizational …
AI in Iran: It’s Not (Just) About Capabilities Read More
Defense technology often attracts people who are inclined to pay attention to the various stages of a normal technology’s lifecycle: its technical underpinnings and development; its relationship with existing techniques; …
Defense Tech Enters a New Era: The Case of Anthropic and the DoD Read More