A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
Defense technology often attracts people who are inclined to pay attention to the various stages of a normal technology’s lifecycle: its technical underpinnings and development; its relationship with existing techniques; …
Defense Tech Enters a New Era: The Case of Anthropic and the DoD Read More
Echoes of Project Maven This past January, Reuters reported that American Large Language Model (LLM) developer Anthropic had reached a standstill in its dealings with the U.S. Department of Defense …
Anthropic and the U.S. DoD: Unusual Dynamics in an Unusual Time Read More
What Is the New Strategy? On January 9th, the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) released its Artificial Intelligence Acceleration Strategy. The Strategy promotes a familiar outcome: for the U.S. military …
The U.S. DoD’s AI Acceleration Strategy Read More
PLA Rocket Force units participating in a parade for the PRC’s 70th anniversary in Beijing. Source – People’s Republic of China As China enters its 15th Five‑Year Plan (2026–2030), Beijing …
Analysis of China’s 15th Five-Year Plan and Its Expected Impact on China’s Military Modernization Read More
Introduction The Association of the United States Army (AUSA) held its annual meeting this week in Washington, D.C. Amid an upswing in emerging defense technology – and artificial intelligence …
AUSA 2025 and AI Piloting: An Old Idea with New Technology Read More
(This is the second of a two-part series on AI in defense. You can find the first part here.) Introduction A white paper recently published by the Computing Community Consortium …
Where Is Artificial Intelligence in Defense Heading? Read More Not long ago, it was fashionable to deride Artificial Intelligence (AI) as merely another example of Natural Stupidity. Recent technical advancements have made the sentiment unpalatable. No one wants to …
Intelligent Partnership in War: DARPA’s Neuro-Symbolic AI Program Read More Earlier this year, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Michael C. Horowitz revealed that the Department of Defense (DoD) had launched several new artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives and investments. Central …
Budget Trends and the Future of AI in U.S. Defense Read Moreby Matthew Beres, Airborne Retrofit & Modernization Analyst, Forecast International. BAE Systems recently announced the development of semi-autonomous software under the Distributed Battle Management program. The DBM program of the …
BAE Systems’ Semi-Autonomous Software Speeds Combat Decisions in Contested Environments Read More