A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending.
A bilateral dispute between the United States and Colombia over the terms of migrant deportation flights reached a tentative diplomatic resolution Sunday night after a flurry of escalatory negotiations brought …
Colombia Accepts US Military Deportation Flights After Standoff Read More
On February 08th, the United States Army sent shockwaves through the rotorcraft industry via a bundle of major announcements pertaining to the future force structure profile of the service’s vast …
FARA Cancellation Upends Rotorcraft Retrofit Outlook Read More
As recently as just a week ago, the broad consensus among diplomats and observers held that political developments over the last three years had brought the strategic latitude and very …
Batka the Broker: What’s in a Deal? Read More
When, in the wake of a shocking string of criminal massacres, Mexican President Felipe Calderon first deployed the Mexican armed forces to combat organized crime on the country’s streets in …
The Future of Mexican Security Sector Reform Read More
Amidst a national atmosphere of pervasive public disillusionment and rising political atomization, peasant son and former labor activist Pedro Castillo arose from near anonymity in 2021 to surprise domestic and …
Gridlock to Golpe: Can Peru Break the Cycle? Read More
A mere week after the Brazilian Army selected the Iveco-Oto Melara Centauro II fire support vehicle as its preferred solution to fulfill its long-gestating 8×8 armored cavalry vehicle requirement, …
Brazilian Court Suspends Centauro Procurement Read More
The dramatic deterioration of Haiti’s internal security environment over the past two years is of particularly acute concern for the current Dominican government. With the Haitian government having been cast …
Border Tensions and Surging Growth Drive Dominican Defense Expenditures Read More
With existing law enforcement structures largely unable to cope with the social and economic largesse of organized criminal gangs and the pervasive violence left in the wake of intra-gang conflicts, …
Can El Salvador Sustain Its Rising Defense Expenditures? Read More
In the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the imposition of far-reaching Western sanctions on the Russian aviation industry, global commercial aviation lessors have been plunged into a …
Russia Moves to Seize Leased Foreign Aircraft Read More
In the wake of the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine, Western governments and private sector corporations have levied unprecedented sanctions on the country that have foreclosed numerous avenues through …
Sanctions Foretell MRO Crisis for Russian Commercial Aviation Read More